Brodie’s 90th Oscar Picks

Will Win is my official pick. Should Win is what I would vote for were I a voting member.

Best Picture

the-shape-of-water-poster.jpg

Will Win: The Shape of Water
Should Win: The Shape of Water
Also Nominated: Call Me By Your Name; Darkest Hour; Dunkirk; Get Out; Lady Bird; Phantom Thread; The Post; Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Director

SOW_04121.CR2

Will Win: Guillermo Del Toro – The Shape of Water
Should Win: Del Toro
Also Nominated: Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk; Jordan Peele – Get Out; Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird; Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread

Best Lead Actress

Frances McDormand - three-billboards-watching-video

Will Win: Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Should Win: Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water
Also Nominated: Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird; Margot Robbie – I, Tonya; Meryl Streep – The Post

Best Lead Actor

Gary Oldman Darkest Hour

Will Win: Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour
Should Win: Oldman
Also Nominated: Timothee Chalamet – Call Me By Your Name; Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread; Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out; Denzel Washington – Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Best Supporting Actress

Allison Janney I Tonya

Will Win: Allison Janney – I, Tonya
Should Win: Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird
Also Nominated: Mary J. Blige – Mudbound; Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread; Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water

Best Supporting Actor

Sam Rockwell Three Billboards

Will Win: Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Should Win: Rockwell (though I wouldn’t scoff at Willem Dafoe for The Florida Project)
Also Nominated: Woody Harrelson – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri; Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water; Christopher Plummer – All The Money In The World

Best Original Screenplay

Get out Poster

Will Win: Jordan Peele – Get Out
Should Win: Literally any of the five nominees
Also Nominated: Kumail Nanjiani & Emily V. Gordon – The Big Sick; Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird; Guillermo Del Toro – The Shape of Water; Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Adapted Screenplay

Call me By Your Name Poster

Will Win: James Ivory – Call Me By Your Name
Should Win: James Mangold, Scott Frank & Michael Green – Logan
Also Nominated: Dee Reese & Virgil Williams – Mudbound; Molly Bloom & Aaron Sorkin – Molly’s Game; Scott Neustadter & Michael Weber – The Disaster Artist

Best Animated Feature

Coco Poster

Will Win: Coco
Should Win: Coco
Also Nominated: Boss Baby; Ferdinand; Breadwinner; Loving Vincent

Best Foreign Language Feature

Will Win: The Square – Sweden
Should Win: The Square – Sweden
Also Nominated: A Fantastic Woman – Chile; Loveless – Russia; On Body and Soul – Hungary; The Insult – Lebanon

Best Documentary Feature

Will Win: Icarus
Should Win: Icarus
Also Nominated: Faces Places; Strong Island; Abacus: Small Enough To Jail; Last Men In Aleppo

Best Original Score

Will Win: Alexandre Desplat – The Shape of Water
Should Win: Alexandre Desplat – The Shape of Water
Also Nominated: Hans Zimmer – Dunkirk; Jonny Greenwood – Phantom Thread; Carter Burwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri; John Williams – Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Best Original Song

Will Win: “Remember Me” – Coco
Should Win: “Remember Me” – Coco
Also Nominated: “Mighty River” – Mudbound; “This Is Me” – The Greatest Showman; “The Mystery of Love” – Call Me By Your Name; “Stand Up For Something” – Marshall

Best Documentary Short

Will Win: Traffic Stop
Also Nominated: Edith + Eddie; Heroin(e); Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405; Knife Skills

Best Live Action Short

Will Win: Dekalb Elementary
Also Nominated: The Eleven O’Clock; My Nephew Emmett; Watu Wote/All of Us; The Silent Child

Best Animated Short

Will Win: Dear Basketball
Also Nominated: Lou; Negative Space; Garden Party; Revolting Rhymes

Best Film Editing

Will Win: Lee Smith – Dunkirk
Also Nominated: Baby Driver; The Shape of Water; I, Tonya; Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Production Design

Will Win: Paul Denham Austerberry, Shane Vieau & Jeff Melvin – The Shape of Water
Also Nominated: Blade Runner 2049; Darkest Hour; Beauty and the Beast; Dunkirk

Best Cinematography

Will Win: Roger Deakins – Blade Runner 2049
Also Nominated: The Shape of Water; Dunkirk; Darkest Hour; Mudbound

Best Visual Effects

Will Win: Daniel Barrett, Dan Lemmon, Joe Letteri & Joel Whist – War for the Planet of the Apes
Also Nominated: Blade Runner 2049; Star Wars: The Last Jedi; Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2; Kong: Skull Island

Best Sound Editing

Will Win: Richard King & Alex Gibson – Dunkirk
Also Nominated: Baby Driver; Blade Runner 2049; The Shape of Water; Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Best Sound Mixing

Will Win: Tim Cavagin & Julian Slater – Baby Driver
Also Nominated: Dunkirk; The Shape of Water; Blade Runner 2049; Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Best Hair & Make-Up

Will Win: David Malinkowski, Lucy Sibbick & Anita Burger – Darkest Hour
Also Nominated: Wonder; Victoria and Abdul

Best Costume Design

Will Win: Mark Bridges – Phantom Thread
Also Nominated: Beauty and the Beast; Darkest Hour; Victoria and Abdul; The Shape of Water

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