93rd Oscar Predictions: Mank Should Lose and Lose Bad

It’s two months after the normal time of year where everybody who writes about movies locks in their predictions for the upcoming awards ceremony. I won’t break down all of them, you don’t really need me pontificating on Best Costume Design (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom). But I’ll hit the big ones, and really break down why Mank needs to be shut the fuck out.

Continue reading “93rd Oscar Predictions: Mank Should Lose and Lose Bad”

Thoughts on the 93rd Oscar Nominations

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences announced the Academy Award nominations this morning. I won’t bore you with yet another list/rundown of the nominees. You don’t need me to do that for you. Here’s the link to the Oscars site and you can see them for yourself. Keep that open in a separate tab, because I’m not gonna But as a lifetime movie fan, longtime Oscars follower, and one-time Oscar attendee, I have thoughts on the nominations. And because I write about movies, here they are. Thanks for reading them.

Continue reading “Thoughts on the 93rd Oscar Nominations”

Brodie’s 89th Annual Oscar Picks

For the record, it’s the Oscars that are the 89th Annual, not my picks. I’m only 31, and have only been making picks since 1999. Will Win is my official pick. Should Win is what I would vote for were I a voting member.

Best Picture

Should Win: Arrival
Will Win: La La Land

Ryan Gosling & Emma Stone in La La Land

I have seen all 9 nominees. This is a bite-the-bullet vote for La La Land. It’s not a bad film. It’s not as good as award season has made it out to be (the script is problematic, and that kind of spreads out to everything else). But it has the momentum, the same momentum that propelled The Artist five years ago. Hollywood loves movies about Hollywood. And they don’t particularly care for genre films
Also Nominated: Fences; Hacksaw Ridge; Hell or High Water; Hidden Figures; Lion; Manchester by the Sea; Moonlight

Best Director

Should Win: Damien Chazelle – La La Land
Will Win: Damien Chazelle – La La Land

Director Damien Chazelle and Emma Stone on the set of LA LA LAND.
Damien Chazelle & Emma Stone on the set of La La Land.

I have seen all 5 nominees. To be honest, Denis Villeneuve’s work on Arrival could and should be talked about with as much fervor as Damien Chazelle’s on La La Land. Despite all of La La Land’s problems, which can pinned on Chazelle, it still actually is a beautifully executed film, and a lot of what works about La La Land can just as readily be pinned on Chazelle. It’s not worth nearly as much love as it’s getting, but Chazelle’s conducting of the cinematic orchestra that is La La Land is noteworthy. It’s a film that worked in spite of itself.
Also Nominated: Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge; Barry Jenkins – Moonlight; Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea; Denis Villeneuve – Arrival

Best Actor

Should Win: Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
Will WinRyan Gosling – La La Land

Ryan Gosling in La La Land

I have seen all 5 nominees. I think Casey Affleck was great, but there has been some negative personal life press around him that could have hurt him in voting. Denzel was great in Fences, but there’s the specter of the stage play hanging over it, and he plays it as stage work being filmed. Viggo was fantastic in an interesting role which gets him the Should Win slot. But the hype train behind La La Land is strong, and knowing Oscar history… I think Ryan Gosling could walk home with this.
Also Nominated: Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea; Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge; Denzel Washington – Fences

Best Actress

Should Win: Viola Davis – Fences (not nominated in this category)
Will WinEmma Stone – La La Land

Emma Stone in La La Land

I have seen 4 of the 5 nominees. Really, Viola Davis should be nominated for, and win, Best Actress, but some politicking on the studios part got her into the less competitive Supporting Actress category. The Best Actress category is a mess this year. No Taraji P. Henson, no Amy Adams. While I haven’t seen Meryl Streep’s Florence Foster Jenkins, there’s a large part of me that just assumes she got it on the strength of being Meryl Streep, and not on the strength of the actual performance. But ultimately the La La Land hype train will carry Emma Stone to the win. And for the record, she was good. Better than Adams? Henson? Portman? Davis? Nope.
Also Nominated: Isabelle Huppert – Elle; Ruth Negga – Loving; Natalie Portman – Jackie; Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins

Best Supporting Actor

Should Win: Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
Will Win:Mahershala Ali – Moonlight

Mahershala Ali in Moonlight

I have seen all 5 nominees. The same studio politicking that kept Viola Davis out of the Lead Actress category also kept Dev Patel out of Lead Actor for Lion. He wouldn’t have won in either category, but at least this got him the nomination, which I understand is an honour in and of itself. But this one’s a no-brainer. Mahershala Ali deserves it. He deserves it for Moonlight. He deserves it for his great TV work over on Netflix’s House of Cards and Netflix’s Luke Cage. He deserves it for his entire 2016. Walter Lucas Hedges in Manchester by the Sea could be a spoiler if the Academy plays it safe. I should point out that Michael Shannon and his Golden Globe winning co-star Aaron Taylor-Johnson were both great in Nocturnal Animals
Also Nominated: Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water; Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea; Dev Patel – Lion; Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals

Best Supporting Actress

Should Win: Naomie Harris – Moonlight
Will WinViola Davis – Fences

Viola Davis in Fences

I have seen all 5 nominees. Again… Viola Davis is in the wrong category, and in a just world, she wouldn’t be here and Naomie Harris would be the easy pick. But Viola Davis was able to transition her stage portrayal to film better than Denzel was. Nicole Kidman and Octavia Spencer are good seat filler, but it’s a two person race between Harris & Davis, with Davis having the advantage. I don’t even know what Michelle Williams is doing here.
Also Nominated: Nicole Kidman – Lion; Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures; Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea

Best Original Screenplay

Should Win: Yorgos Lanthimos & Efthimis Filippou – The Lobster
Will WinKenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea

Michelle Williams & Casey Affleck in Manchester by the Sea

I have seen all 5 nominees. For all the great work Damien Chazelle did as a director, for all the other awards La La Land will most likely win tonight… the one it is least qualified for is Screenplay, as that is the biggest problem with the film. 20th Century Women was interesting and engaging, Hell or High Water was easily the most thrilling and entertaining. But for a truly original, bizarre, unique screenplay that just draws you in, that’s The Lobster (which overall is largely missing from the awards season chatter). And despite how morose it is, the script for Manchester by the Sea is quite good, and actually quite deserving of the love it has received.
Also Nominated: Hell or High Water; La La Land; 20th Century Women

Best Adapted Screenplay

Should Win: Eric Heisserer – Arrival
Will WinBarry Jenkins & Tarell Alvin McCraney – Moonlight

Andre Holland & Revante Rhodes in Moonlight

I have seen all 5 nominees. Arrival was one of the most interesting films of the year, and I’d hate for it to be shut out, but we all know the Academy’s recent track record with genre films. That said… It was a very fine line that got Arrival into the Should Win category, as Moonlight is an  amazing character piece. The supporting players are given little time to do get in and do their work, but they’re given so much and said short amount of time. Jenkins and McCraney paint a glorious backdrop for the stunning primary arc. Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi could be a spoiler, if the Academy wants to recognize the great work on Hidden Figures.
Also Nominated: Fences; Hiden Figures; Lion

Best Animated Feature

Should Win: Kubo and the Two Strings
Will Win: Moana


I have seen 3 of the 5 nominees. I have little faith in the Oscars to not go Disney. Of the 15 Animated features to win the award since its creation, only 4 have NOT gone to Disney/Pixar. And now Disney has two nominees. Kubo & The Two Strings should win, but I think the win will go to Moana.
Also Nominated: My Life as a Zucchini; The Red Turtle; Zootopia

Best Documentary Feature

Will Win: 13th
I haven’t seen any of these. But 13th is trending positively. OJ: Made In America could be a spoiler, as it appeared on several Year End lists. It’s a toss up, sure.
Also Nominated: Fire at Sea; I Am Not Your Negro; Life, Animated; O.J.: Made in America

Best Cinematography

Should Win: Linus Sandgren – La La Land
Will Win: Linus Sandgren – La La Land
Also Nominated: Greg Fraser – LionJames Laxton – MoonlightRodrigo Prieto – Silence; Bradford Young – Arrival

Best Film Editing

Should Win: Arrival
Will Win: La La Land
Also Nominated: Hell or High Water; Hacksaw RidgeMoonlight

Best Visual Effects

Should Win: The Jungle Book
Will Win: The Jungle Book
Also Nominated: Deepwater Horizon; Doctor Strange; Kubo and the Two Strings; Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Best Production Design

Should WinLa La Land
Will WinLa La Land
Also Nominated: Arrival; Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them; Hail, Caesar!; La La Land; Passengers

Best Original Score

Should WinLa La Land
Will Win: La La Land
Also Nominated: Jackie; Lion; Moonlight; Passengers

Best Foreign Language Film

Will Win: The Salesman (Iran)
Also Nominated: Land of Mine (Denmark); A Man Called Ove (Sweden); Tanna (Australia); 
Toni Erdmann (Germany)

Best Costume Design

Should Win: Jackie
Will Win: Jackie
Also Nominated: Allied; Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them; Florence Foster Jenkins; La La Land

Best Makeup/Hairstyling

Will Win: Star Trek Beyond
Also Nominated: A Man Called Ove; Suicide Squad

Best Original Song

Should Win: “Drive It Like You Stole It” – Sing Street (not nominated)
Will Win“City of Stars” – La La Land (though I would love to see Moana get it so Lin-Manuel Miranda can go full EGOT)
Also Nominated: “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” – La La Land“Can’t Stop This Feeling!” – Trolls“The Empty Chair” – Jim: The James Foley Story“How Far I’ll Go” – Moana

Best Sound Editing

Will Win: La La Land
Also NominatedArrival; Deepwater Horizon; Hacksaw Ridge; Sully

Best Sound Mixing

Will Win: La La Land
Also Nominated: Arrival; Hacksaw Ridge; Rogue One: A Star Wars Story; 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

Best Documentary Short

Will Win: Joe’s Violin
Also Nominated: Extremis; 4.1 Miles; Watani: My Homeland; The White Helmets

Best Live-Action Short

Will Win: Ennemis Interieurs
Also Nominated: La Femme et le TGV; Silent Nights; Sing; Timecode

Best Animated Short

Will WinPearl
Also Nominated: Blind Vaysha; Borrowed Time; Pear Cider and Cigarettes; Piper

87th Annual Academy Awards: LIVE BLOG!

Hey everybody! Thanks for joining me again for a live blog-o-thon of the Oscar ceremony! I’ll keep updating with winners, losers, upsets and performances. You can also follow me on twitter – @Brodiemann, and that will just be my general reaction to things. There’s also the feed you can see directly to your right, so you don’t really even have to leave this page. Just hit refresh every so often.

The 87th Annual Academy Awards!
The 87th Annual Academy Awards!

Time stamps are in Central Time.

23:05– Now the moment we’ve all been waiting for… the Academy Award for the Best Picture of 2014 goes to BIRDMAN! YES!

22:56– Julianne Moore finally picks up an Oscar for Best Actress for her work in Still Alice.

22:50– And the Oscar for Best Actor goes to Eddie Redmayne for The Theory of Everything!

22:42– Alejandro G. Inarritu wins the Academy Award for Best Director for Birdman!

22:34– Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar goes to The Imitation Game!

22:30- The Oscar for best Original Screenplay goes to Birdman! I thought for sure it would go to boyhood.

22:22– Alexandre Desplat picks up the Best Original Score Oscar for his work on The Grand Budapest Hotel

22:10- Yay… a tribute to The Sound of Music.

22:05- The Oscar goes to John Stephens (John Legend) & Lonnie Lynn (Common) for Glory for Best Original Song. Great song. Brilliant performance!

21:58- John Legend and Common perform their Oscar nominated song Glory from Selma.

21:50- The Best Documentary Feature Oscar goes to Citizenfour.

21:43- The Oscar for Best Film Editing goes to Whiplash! Surprise! I thought for sure it would go to Boyhood! Good job, Tom Cross!

21:33- Now to remember those we’ve lost over the past year. Fare thee well, Mike Nichols.

21:26– The Academy Award for Best Cinematography goes to Birdman!

21:22– Best Production Design goes to The Grand Budapest Hotel

The Grand Budapest Hotel Lobby
The Grand Budapest Hotel Lobby

21:11– Big Hero 6 takes home the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film!

21:07– Best Animated Short Film goes to Feast!

21:04– The Oscar for Best Visual Effects goes to Interstellar!

21:00– Rita Ora performs “Grateful” from Beyond The Lights, nominated for Best Song tonight.

20:54- And the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress goes to Patricia Arquette for Boyhood!

Patricia Arquette in Boyhood
Patricia Arquette in Boyhood

20:50- Now for Best Sound Editing, the Oscar goes to American Sniper

20:47- And the award for Best Sound Mixing goes to Whiplash!

20:34- Tim McGraw sings the Academy Award Nominated “I’m Not Gonna Miss You” from “Glen Campbell… I’ll Be Me”

20:30– Best Documentary Short Subject goes to Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1!

20:26- Best Live Action Short Film goes to The Phone Call!

20:16– Tegan & Sara and The Lonely Island performing the Oscar Nominated “Everything Is Awesome!”

20:11– Best Foreign Language Film goes to Ida!

20:02– Best Make-up/Hair goes to The Grand Budapest Hotel. My first incorrect pick of the night. I’m 2 for 3.

Tilda Swinton Grand Budapest Hotel
Tilda Swinton Grand Budapest Hotel

19:59– Best Costume Design goes to The Grand Budapest Hotel

Grand Budapest Hotel
Grand Budapest Hotel

19:47– Introducing the first two Best Picture Nominees is the great Liam Neeson.

19:41– First award of the night, Best Supporting Actor goes to J.K. Simmons for Whiplash!

Miles Teller and J.K. Simmons
Miles Teller and J.K. Simmons

19:36– Great opening number, Neil. Loved Ana Kendrick.

19:30– CURTAIN’S UP!

19:20– The countdown is on! 10 minutes till we find out what song NPH sings for his opening number.

19:05– I feel bad for Ethan Hawke. If it wasn’t for J.K. Simmons… well, he’d still be up against Edward Norton, but he’d have slightly better odds tonight.

18:54- I am enjoying the #AskHerMore. The whole “Who are you wearing!?!” really turned me off on the red carpet, but it’s nice hearing everyone talk about their projects instead of their dresses.

18:36– It’s Red Carpet time! I remember sitting in the bleachers back in 2006. Got to chat with Joel Stein, shook George Clooney’s hand, almost got Will Smith’s autograph. It really was a lot of fun. Would love to go again someday.


2015 Oscar Predictions

Over the years, I’ve gone as low as 9 for 24, up to a career best last year of picking 17 of 24 (71%). The Oscars are a cruel mistress. Just when you think, “Yeah! I got this,” Crash comes along and wins Best Picture over Brokeback Mountain, Good Night and Good Luck, Munich and Capote everyone else, Sandra Bullock beats out Carey Mulligan for Best Actress, or Million Dollar Baby dominates over all contenders. So here’s my attempt to tell the Academy I know who should or will win.

Best Picture: Birdman

Best Director: Richard Linklater for Boyhood

Best Actor: Michael Keaton for Birdman

Best Actress: Julianne Moore for Still Alice

Best Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons for Whiplash

Best Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette for Boyhood

Best Adapted Screenplay: Damien Chazelle for Whiplash

Best Original Screenplay: Richard Linklater for Boyhood

Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki for Birdman

Best Animated Feature: How to Train Your Dragon 2

Best Foreign Film: Ida

Best Documentary Feature: Citizenfour

Best Documentary Short Subject: Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1

Best Short Film – Animated: Feast

Best Short Film – Live Action: The Phone Call

Best Production Design: Adam Stockhausen & Anna Pinnock for The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Costume Design: Milena Canonero for The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Make-up/Hair: Elizabeth Yianni-Georgiou & David White for Guardians of the Galaxy

Best Film Editing: Sandra Adair for Boyhood

Best Visual Effects: Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Daniel Barrett & Erik Winquist for Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

Best Sound Editing: Richard King for Interstellar

Best Sound Mixing: Craig Mann, Ben Wilkins & Thomas Curley for Whiplash
*this is the end scene, sooooo Spoiler Alert!*

Best Original Score: Jóhann Jóhannsson for The Theory of Everything

Best Original Song: “Glory” from Selma; Music & Lyrics by John Legend & Common

Live Oscars Blog-o-Thon 2012!

I will post the categories as they are announced. The winner will appear in green. If it matches my pick, that will be all that appears. If I guessed wrong, I’ll post what was my pick in red. I’ve picked The Artist to be the big winner tonight, picking up seven awards; Best Picture, Director, Actor, Original Screenplay, Original Score, Costume Design, Cinematography & Film Editing.

84th Annual Academy Awards
The 84th Annual Academy Awards, Hosted by Billy Crystal

Well… I went 12 for 24 tonight, finishing at 50%, which is worse than last year. I’m getting progressively worse, as I had my best year 2 years ago at 15 of 24. Maybe next year…. Good show!

8:36 – Best Picture – The Artist; FUCK YES! I knew it! I knew it! So glad this one won, it definitely deserved it. Good job! 12 for 24

8:29 – Best Lead Actress – Michelle Williams for My Week With Marilyn; Winner – Meryl Streep  for The Iron Lady; One of their “Make Good” wins… Though, pretty soon they’ll have to do it for Michelle Williams. It’s a vicious cycle 11 for 23

8:18 – Best Lead Actor – Jean Dujardin for The Artist; KNEW IT! It’s too bad he had to upset Gary Oldman who is long, LONG overdue, but Dujardin deserved it. 11 for 22.

8:03 – Time for the In Memorium… I never cry at this. And really? “What A Wonderful World?” How basic is that? Are you gonna switch to “Somewhere Over The Rainbow” too?

7:59 – I’m kinda glad they do all the special awards at a separate ceremony… It keeps the main show tight.

7:53 – Best Director – Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist; I’m really glad he won and not Hugo… this is saving my picks for the night. I may miss out on Best Actress though… 10 for 21

7:45 – Best Animated Short – The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore; I really liked the animation on this one, it’s fascinating… you can catch the full film on YouTube here! 9 for 20

7:42 – Best Documentary Short – Saving Face; I had heard very good things about this one, and it seemed like a no brainer. Good job. 8 for 19

7:39 – Best Live Action Short – Time Freak; Winner – The Shore; I took a stab in the dark on this one. I went with Time Freak because I like time travel. 7 for 18

7:30 – Best Original Screenplay – Woody Allen for Midnight In Paris; Hooray! Now that we’re out of the technical awards, I’m doing well. Suck it Hugo! 7 for 17

7:27 – Best Adapted Screenplay – Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon & Jim Rash for The Descendants; Happy for all three of them. Especially Jim Rash, he’s got something to head back to the set of Community with! 6 for 16

7:24 – Billy Crystal really knows how to pull out of a flub. Respect, Mr. Crystal.

7:18 – Best Original Song – Bret McKenzie for “Man or Muppet” from The Muppets; I knew it! I’m glad I now get to say Oscar Winner Bret McKenzie! 5 for 15

7:13 – Best Original Score – Ludovic Bource for The Artist; Good! I really loved this score. Brilliant, and it definitely was the best of the year. 6 for 14.

7:09 – This is a fun little bit. Havin’ a bit o’ fun at the stars! Good times. Get on to the next award.

7:01 – Best Supporting Actress – Christopher Plummer for Beginners; I just want to say that I am really happy for Jonah Hill getting the nomination. It was unexpected, but deserving. And I’m glad Plummer finally won. He deserves it, too. 5 for 13

6:56 – Best Visual Effects – Rise of the Planet of the Apes; Winner – Hugo; Goddamnit Hugo! Rise of the Planet of the Apes had really good effects… and you’re ruining my picks. 4 for 12

6:47 – Best Animated Feature – Rango; I’m glad this film won… such gorgeous animation on this one. Amazing. Definitely deserved it. 4 for 11

6:46 – I wonder if Chris Rock will ever get work on an Animated film again?

6:43 – Best Documentary Feature – Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory; Winner – Undefeated; WOW! Another upset. Everything I heard was that Paradise Lost had this locked up… wow. 3 for 10

6:35 – I’ve always wondered what an at the movies interpretive dance would look like… Wait, no I haven’t. Still kinda cool though.

6:34 – YAY! Muppets! But if they’re gonna be in the balcony, why couldn’t they get Statler & Waldorf?

6: 29 – Best Sound Mixing – The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo; Winner – Hugo; Hugo’s been the spoiler so far tonight. I only had it for like 1 award. 3 for 9.

6:26 – Best Sound Editing – Drive; Winner – Hugo; And now Drive is shut out… which is too bad, that movie got no love. The biggest snub of the night. 3 for 8.

6:25 – Best Film Editing – The Artist; Winner – The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo; WOW! Did not expect that! Good job! 3 for 7

6:23 – Bradley Cooper needs to lose the mustache.

6:22 – Such a hilarious and great Christopher Guest cut scene… just so funny. Good to see those guys together.

6:13 – Best Supporting Actress – Octavia Spencer for The Help; I haven’t seen this film, I’m sure I will eventually, but it seems like such an easy film to say is good, so I just had no desire to. Good for Octavia. 3 for 6

6:07 – Best Foreign Language Film – Bullhead (Belgium); Winner – A Separation (Iran). I knew I should have changed my pick… I don’t know why I stuck with Bullhead. 2 for 5

6:01 – I like this “My First Movie” montage. It’s a really fun insight into these actors, actresses and Hilary Swanks.

5:58 – Best Make-Up – Albert Nobbs; Winner – The Iron Lady. Don’t know why I was rooting against The Iron Lady… I just felt the Albert Nobbs make-up was so fantastic. 2 for 4

5:56 – Best Costume Design – The Artist; I was really pulling for this one tonight. 2 for 3

5:53 – Really? The only pre-1970 film in that montage was Midnight Cowboy. Way to be, Oscars… Way to be.

5:45 – Best Art Direction – Hugo; First correct prediction tonight… Hooray! 1 for 2 so far.

5:44 – Best Cinematography – The Artist; winner – Hugo; I was really pulling for The Artist. So far off to a bad start.

5:41 – I’m pretty sure the first Oscars ceremony I ever watched was hosted by Billy Crystal… he’s got a special place in my heart when it comes to the big show

5:39 – I never thought I’d see Brad Pitt and Jonah Hill hanging out, and nominated for performances in the same film… Good on ya, Jonah.

5:35 – Throwing Tin Tin a nod in the opening sequence is literally the least they could do, since they couldn’t nominate it for some stupid gorram reason!

5:33 – What the hell?! Why is Justin Bieber tainting the Oscars? Come on… you’re better than this, Billy…

5:30 – And here we go… with Morgan Freeman kicking things off! Can’t wait to see the opening number!

5:23 – I’m a big fan of Brian Grazer, so I’m excited to see how his show gets pulled off. Sure it’s gonna be great. Significantly better than anything Brett Ratner could have done.

5:18 – Normally no one ever says “I watch the Oscars for the commercials.” But that Muppets, Google+ commercial set to Under Pressure was awesome!

5:15 – Who is this British chick doing interviews? She’s fucking terrible.

5:12 – George Clooney’s looking sharp. Looking better than yesterday when I watched him die in Return to Horror High. Stacey looks like the Oscar statue.

5:03 – Bradly Cooper doesn’t do a terrible Christopher Walken. Can’t wait for Wet Hot American Summer 2.

5:00 – Aaaaaaand we’re off! I don’t really get into the Red Carpet, because I don’t really care who’s wearing whom. Sometimes the interviews are fun, though. So we’ve got the blog going… settle in for a fun night!

2012 Oscar Predictions

Hooray! It’s Oscar week! I’m excited as always, and there’s big things on the horizon for Brodie Mann Films, so stay tuned for all that. But since we’re a week away, it’s time to make my picks. Last year I went 13 for 24, for a 54% success rate, and my personal best came in 2010 when I went 15 for 24, for a 63% success rate. Can I beat my best? Or even last year’s score? We’ll see, here are my picks.

84th Annual Academy Awards
The 84th Annual Academy Awards, Hosted by Billy Crystal

Best Picture

The Artist

Best Director

Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Jean Dujardin  for The Artist

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Michelle Williams for My Week With Marilyn

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Christopher Plummer for Beginners

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Octavia Spencer for The Help

Best Original Screenplay

Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris

Best Adapted Screenplay

Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon & Jim Rash for The Descendants

Best Animated Feature


Best Foreign Language Film


Best Documentary Feature

Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory

Best Original Score

Ludovic Bource for The Artist

Best Original Song

Bret McKenzie for “Man or Muppet” from The Muppets

Best Cinematography-

Guillaume Schiffman for The Artist

Best Film Editing-

Anne-Sophie Bion & Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist

Best Art Direction-

Dante Ferretti & Francesca Lo Schiavo for Hugo

Best Costume Design-

Mark Bridges for The Artist

Best Make-Up –

Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnson & Matthew W. Mungle for Albert Nobbs

Best Sound Editing-

Lon Bender & Victor Ray Ennis for Drive

Best Sound Mixing

David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce & Bo Persson for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

Best Visual Effects-

Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White & Daniel Barrett for Rise of the Planet of the Apes

Best Documentary: Short Subject-

Saving Face

Best Short Film: Animated-

The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore

Best Short Film: Live Action-

Time Freak

Oscars Live Blog-o-thon 2011!

Join me all night as I live blog the Oscars. Tune in for winners, losers, speeches and tributes. See how I did in my picks. Last year I went 15 for 24, a 63% success rate, and I’m hoping I do better than that. I’ve picked The Social Network for five awards; Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, Original Score & Film Editing. Fingers crossed that this’ll be a big year for me.

I will post the categories as they are announced. The winner will appear in green. If it matches my pick, that will be all that appears. If I guessed wrong, I’ll post what was my pick in red.

83rd Annual Academy Awards
James Franco & Anne Hathaway host the 83rd Annual Academy Awards Presentation Ceremony

11:41 – Another Oscars in the books. It was OK… I can tell it’ll be a few years before they break away from going with “Standard Oscar Fair.” The Social Network was robbed in best Picture and Director. Oh well. I went 13 for 24, culminating in a 54% success rate. Not as good as my 63% from last year. I’ll try better next year.

11:37 – Best PictureThe Social Network; winner – The King’s Speech; I liked The King’s Speech, don’t get me wrong, but The Social Network was a much better film. Social Network got robbed 13 for 24. 54%

11:31 – Great entrance music for Spielberg. Should have been accompanied by a T-Rex.

11:25 – Best ActorColin Firth for The King’s Speech; That was a gimme. I knew they would go for him. I wanted Jesse Eisenberg to win (and still think he should have) but knew he wouldn’t. I went for the safe bet. 13 for 23.

11:20 – And this is the last we’ll see of Sandra Bullock at the Oscars. Ever.

11:16 – Best ActressNatalie Portman in Black Swan; WOOOO! Called it. Then again, who didn’t? Great job Natalie. 12 for 22

11:12 – That clip just exhibited why Julianne Moore should’ve been nominated instead of Annette Benning.

11:11 – I wonder who’s more stoned, James Franco or Jeff Bridges?

11:03 – Best DirectorDavid Fincher for The Social Network; winner – Tom Hooper for The King’s Speech; WHOA! WHOA! Upset of the night! Wow…. Fincher got robbed. I now can’t beat last year’s picks. 11 for 21

10:55 – Touching and classy ‘In Memoriam” tribute. We lost a lot of great ones over the past year. But was Celine Dion being there completely necessary?

10:49 – Best Original Song“I See a Light” from Tangled; winner – “We Belong Together” from Toy Story 3; Seriously?! I now need to pick the rest accurately just to match last year. 11 for 20.

10:35 – Best Film EditingThe Social Network; They deserved it. Such a brilliantly put together film. 11 for 19

10:33 – Best Visual EffectsInception; Note how Inception was the only one that didn’t have a computer graphic for it’s clip. Way to be! 10 for 18.

10:21 – Best Documentary FeatureExit Through The Gift Shop; winner – Inside Job; I now have to get the rest of my picks right to beat last year. 9 for 17.

10:15 – Best Live Action Short FilmThe Crush; winner – God of Love; this could totally throw my whole picks off, now I’m just hoping to break even with last year. 9 for 16.

10:13 – Best Documentary Short SubjectThe Warriors of Quigang; winner – Strangers No More. Next year, I’m taking Jake Gyllenhaal’s advice. 9 for 15.

10:07 – My boy Zach Levi, steppin’ up! Great job! That kid’s going places. Also: Watch Chuck, good show.

9:58 – Best Costume DesignThe King’s Speech; winner – Alice In Wonderland; I really don’t know where to begin in choosing this category, so I call it a wash. 9 for 14.

9:56 – Best Make-UpThe Wolfman; Chose it cause I love Rick Baker’s work. Good call Academy! 9 for 13.

9:49 – Best Sound EditingInception; Always bet on the event films for technical flicks. It got looked over in other categories, but it was THE undeniable technical achievement of the year. 8 for 12

9:47 – Best Sound MixingInception; Sweet, picking Inception for the technical awards is paying off. 7 for 11.

9:43 – Best Original ScoreTrent Reznor & Atticuss Ross for The Social Network; YES! I was so hoping to be able to say Academy Award Winner Trent Reznor 6 for 10!

9:34 – That’s OK Christian Bale, I’m sure everyone forgets their wife’s name on international television. That’s a totally normal thing to do.

9:31 – Best Supporting Actor Christian Bale in The Fighter; Alright, that’s better. And bout damn time he got an Oscar. What was the hold up?! 5 for 9

9:27 – Best Foreign Languange FilmBiutiful from Mexico; winner – In A Better World from Denmark; Damn it. I went with the only film I had heard of. 4 for 8.

9:24 – I’m liking Anne Hathaway (I usually do) hosting. And now here’s James Franco in a dress. Good times

9:18 – Best Original ScreenplayDavid Seidler for The King’s Speech; Alright! Swept the writing categories! 4 for 7.

9:14- Best Adapted ScreenplayAaron Sorkin for The Social Network; Outstanding choice, he definitely deserved it. He’s one of my favourite writers. 3 for 6

9:06 – Best Animated FeatureHow To Train Your Dragon; winner – Toy Story 3;  Both were great films, but I bet on the wrong horse. 2 for 5

9:03 – Best Animated ShortDay & Night;  winner – The Lost Thing; 2 for 4

8:59– Melissa Leo seems like such a sweet, classy lady. Too bad about the 7 second delay. So glad she won.

8:56- Best Supporting ActressMelissa Leo in The Fighter;  2 for 3 GO ME!

8:52 – Kirk Douglass making an entrance. That man has more talent and class than the entire room, combined.

8:48 – Best CinematographyInception; 1 for 2.

8:45Best Art DirectionInception; Winner – Alice in Wonderland I’m now 0 for 1.

8:43 – Tom Hanks presenting 2 awards, Best Cinematography & Best Art Direction, 2 awards he hasn’t won… what a loser.

8:37 – Loved the opening sequence. Can’t go wrong with Morgan Freeman narration and Tron references. AND A BACK TO THE FUTURE SEQUENCE! Officially the best opening sequence ever!

8:27– Time to start the show! How will they top last year’s show opener with Neil Patrick Harris? The first award they handed out was Best Supporting Actor. I wonder what will be the first this year? Supporting Actor again? Will we see Christian Bale up there? Let’s watch!

7:14 – Red carpet entrances. I don’t particularly care. Full on live blogging to start at 8:30pm.

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