Brodie’s 91st Oscar Picks

Will Win is my official pick. Should Win is what I would vote for were I a voting member.

Best Picture

Will Win: Green Book
Should Win: BlacKkKlansman
Also Nominated: A Star Is Born; Black Panther; Bohemian Rhapsody; Roma; The Favourite; Vice

Best Director

Will Win: Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
Should Win: Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
Also Nominated: Adam McKay – Vice; Pawel Pawlikowski – Cold War; Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite

Best Lead Actress

Will Win: Glenn Close – The Wife
Should Win: Olivia Colman – The Favourite
Also Nominated: Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born; Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?; Yalitza Aparicio – Roma

Best Lead Actor

Will Win: Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
Should Win: Malek
Also Nominated: Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born; Christian Bale – Vice; Viggo Mortensen – Green Book; Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate

Best Supporting Actress

Will Win: Emma Stone – The Favourite
Should Win: Stone
Also Nominated: Amy Adams – Vice; Marina de Tavira – Roma; Rachel Weisz – The Favourite; Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk

Best Supporting Actor

Will Win: Sam Elliot – A Star Is Born
Should Win: Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
Also Nominated: Mahershala Ali – Green Book; Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?; Sam Rockwell – Vice

Best Original Screenplay

Will Win: Deborah Davis & Tony McNamara – The Favourite
Should Win: Davis & McNamara
Also Nominated: Paul Schrader – First Reformed; Nick Vallelonga, Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly – Green Book; Alfonso Cuaron – Roma; Adam McKay – Vice

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will Win: Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
Should Win: Wachtel, Rabinowitz, Willmott, Lee
Also Nominated: Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters – A Star Is Born; Nicole Holofcener, Jeff Whitty – Can You Ever Forgive Me?; Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk; Joel Coen, Ethan Coen – The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Best Animated Feature

Will Win: Isle of Dogs
Should Win: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Also Nominated: Incredibles 2; Mirai; Ralph Breaks the Internet

Best Foreign Language Feature

Will Win: Roma
Should Win: Roma
Also Nominated: Cold War; Capernaum; Never Look Away; Shoplifters

Best Documentary Feature

Will Win: Free Solo
Should Win: Free Solo
Also Nominated: Hale County This Morning, This Evening; Minding The Gap; Of Fathers and Sons; RBG

Best Original Score

Will Win: Ludwig Goransson – Black Panther
Should Win: Goransson
Also Nominated: Terenc Blanchard – BlacKkKlansman; Nicholas Britell – If Beale Street Could Talk; Alexandre Desplat – Isle of Dogs; Marc Shaiman – Mary Poppins Returns

Best Original Song

Will Win: “Shallow” – A Star Is Born
Should Win: “All The Stars” – Black Panther
Also Nominated: The Place Where Lost Things Go – Mary Poppins Returns; I’ll FIght – RBG; When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings – The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Best Documentary Short

Will Win: A Night at the Garden
Also Nominated: Black Sheep; End Game; Lifeboat; Period. End of Sentence

Best Live Action Short

Will Win: Madre
Also Nominated: Detainment; Fauve; Marguerite; Skin

Best Animated Short

Will Win: Bao
Also Nominated: Animal Behaviour; Late Afternoon; One Small Step; Weekends

Best Film Editing

Will Win: Yorgos Mavropsaridis – The Favourite
Also Nominated: BlacKkKlansman; Bohemian Rhapsody; Green Book; Vice

Best Production Design

Will Win: Hannah Beachler & Jay Hart – Black Panther
Also Nominated: First Man; Mary Poppins Returns; Roma; The Favourite

Best Cinematography

Will Win: Robbie Ryan – The Favourite
Also Nominated: A Star Is Born; Cold War; Never Look Away; Roma

Best Visual Effects

Will Win: Dan DeLeeuw, Kelly Port, Russell Earl, Daniel Sudick – Avengers: Infinity War
Also Nominated: Christopher Robin; First Man; Ready Player One; Solo: A Star Wars Story

Best Sound Editing

Will Win: Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl – A Quiet Place
Also Nominated: Black Panther; Bohemian Rhapsody; First Man; Roma

Best Sound Mixing

Will Win: Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño, Ai-Ling Lee, Mary H. Ellis – First Man
Also Nominated: A Star Is Born; Black Panther; Bohemian Rhapsody; Roma

Best Hair & Make-Up

Will Win: Greg Cannom, Kate Biscoe, Patricia Dehaney – Vice
Also Nominated: Border; Mary Queen of Scots

Best Costume Design

Will Win: Ruth E. Carter – Black Panther
Also Nominated: Mary Poppins Returns; Mary Queen of Scots; The Ballad of Buster Scruggs; The Favourite